#Kalshi

The filing landed at 2:47 PM. A federal judge in Washington D.C. just told CM...

In August 2024, the combined monthly trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket,...

The news hit my desk in Paris at 6:42 AM. Ninth Circuit. Kalshi. Nevada. Thre...

Signal detected. Action required. Kalshi traders are pricing a 67% probabilit...

The news hit the terminal like a shockwave through calm water: Kalshi, the...

The filing hit my terminal at 08:14 Madrid time. Form D, Reg D exemption, $1....

The numbers hit my screen like a defibrillator jolt. XRP, the granddaddy of...

Hook: The front-runner didn't see the real flaw in the pitch. Kalshi, a...

The most significant liquidity event this quarter isn't a BTC ETF inflow or a...

On August 18, 2025, South Korea’s media regulator formally approved measures ...

The numbers hit like a cold front. Prediction market interest has cratered by...

Next week, the White House will host a meeting of crypto executives. The gues...

I spent the spring of 2017 auditing a whitepaper that promised to democratize...

I didn't see the Polymarket lawsuit coming. Not because I thought the...

Sequoia Capital and Wellington Management are in advanced talks to invest in...

The data shows a subtle but critical alteration in Kalshi’s event contract...

Just last week, the CFTC did something I never expected: it bailed out Kalshi...

Kalshi traders are putting real money on XRP falling back to $1 by August. Th...

On August 7, Kalshi unveiled Blanket, an AI-driven tool that promises to help...

Kalshi unveiled Blanket this week: an AI tool that "helps small businesses...

$4 million. That's the notional volume parked on Kalshi's Stephen Curry...

The code never lies, but the docket does a better job of exposing intent. On...

The ruling landed at 14:37 EST. A federal judge in Minnesota issued a...

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) didn’t fire a missile on July...

Hook May 2024. The CFTC greenlit the first true perpetual futures for US...

Kalshi spent $990,000 in six months. That’s almost 55% of its total 2023...

Hook: Two headlines, one market signal. On July 11, 2025, two pieces of news...

Two events hit the terminal this week. Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction...

Kalshi's PR head just declared war on the states. The message: no state has...

The ledger remembers what the ego forgets. Over $50 billion in notional volum...

On August 1, 2026, at 10:00:00.000 UTC, a Truth Social post by Donald Trump...

Volumes hit $113.8 billion in Q2 2026. Polymarket’s market share dropped 5.6...

The logs do not lie, but they also do not tell the full story. Over three...

In the hierarchy of market inefficiencies, information asymmetry sits atop as...

In a market designed to predict the unpredictable, the most predictable outco...

A teleprompter operator with advance access to a Trump speech placed bets on...

The CFTC is investigating a White House teleprompter operator. The accusation...

The alpha isn't in the code — it's in the jurisdictional conflict. On March 1...

Look at the order. The CFTC, on Thursday, commanded Kalshi to honor every tra...

Listening to the silence between the data points, one finds a peculiar hum. I...

Hook On a quiet Tuesday, a federal agency filed an emergency motion. A...

Most traders see prediction markets as a playground for decentralized...

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley updated their internal compliance policies o...

On July 10, 2024, block number 20241010 on Ethereum recorded a transfer of 1....

The numbers hit like a sledgehammer. $5.6 billion in monthly volume. An 86x...

Entropy wins. Always check the fees. I spend my days inside ERC-4626 vaults a...